- Usual forecaster
- David Masson
- I will try to maintain the outlook and do soaring foreacasts for most XC-able days
Last update: 09:40 26/05/2023 (2 days ago)
Large area of high pressure to the west of Ireland giving northeasterly flow
Dir / kts
|Fri:||ENE / 16||19||
AM: weak, broken blue.
PM: blue to 3000ft with a temperature of 17C (by 1pm?) and blue to 4000ft by mid afternoon.
More chance of cumulus base 4000ft+ from about Oxford north so maybe the best task area would be north and then run downwind/upwind across the Marborough Downs.Good for 200-300km if you can cope with the wind and blue
|Sat:||ENE / 9||20||
AM: blue, locally soarable by 10am with weak thermals to 1500-2000ft. Blue to 3000ft with a temp of 17C (by midday).
PM: Improving through the afternoon with a temp of 18C giving blue to 4000ft+ by 2pm. HOWEVER (!) the local area is favoured (downwind of Greater London) and blue to 3000-3500ft is more like it for most surrounding areas. There is a small chance of a bit a cumulus late afternoon if the humidity rises enough.It amuses me how the comp' copes with this :-)
Good for 200-300km if you don't mind the blue.
|Sun:||NE / 14||20||
A weak cold front is trying to make its way southeast through the high pressure, but its not obvious if it manages it and it may just stall and fizzle. So a wait and see really...
AM: wind 045/12kt cumulus base lifting to 2500ft by 11am. Then increasing cloud as the front gets closer...PM: ...but usable locally and to our south with bases getting to 3500ft+. The wind increases to 045/18-20kt and we either end up with the front causing too much cloud (say 7/8s CuSc 2500/7000)...
... or it might break up and remain soarable. At present the former looks likely so I will say 'ok for short XC 100-200km in the local area'
|Mon:||ENE / 22||17||
Windy. You're going to have to get use to northeasterlies :-) !
blue to 4000ft with a small chance of some cu base 4000ft+ the other side of Salisbury Plain.
|Tue:||NE / 22||19||Windy. Shallow cu base 3500-4000ft over a big area and 4000ft+ locally and our southwest|
|Wed:||ENE / 23||21||Windy. Shallow/good cu base 4000ft+|
High pressure dominating for the foreseeable future (the whole of the competition?). It doesn't move very much and we are likely to retain a north to easterly flow (typically NE to ENE) for that period
A bit less effort on the forecasting front for a few days while me and LS6 get reaquainted. She says I am looking old 😒
As far as I know (21/5/2023) Parham still only have only tug and do not want visitors.
Every day or two so long there are some XC-able days ahead.